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An Assessment of the Impact of Non-Traditional Variables in Health Care Risk Adjustment

AN ASSESSMENT OF THE IMPACT OF NON-TRADITIONAL VARIABLES IN HEALTH CARE RISK ADJUSTMENT


ABSTRACT

Risk adjustment is a modern technology that accounts for known and/or discovered health data elements to level-set comparisons of wellness among members. The aim of the study is to examine the Impact of Non-traditional Variables in Health Care Risk Adjustment using Uth, Uyo, Akwa Ibom as a case study. In achieving this aim, the following specific objectives were laid out to determine the relationship between non-traditional variables and health care risk adjustment in Nigeria, and ascertain the impact of non-traditional variables on health care risk adjustment in Nigeria. The research design used in this report is descriptive design, utilizing questionnaire method to obtain information from the respondents for this project. Primary data were collected from the primary source which questionnaire was used as an instrument of data collection while secondary data were sources from textbooks, journals, newspapers and the internet were employed. The data were presented on a frequency distribution table and analyzed using simple percentage, while hypothesis was tested using chi-square test. The importance of risk adjustment to these policy goals cannot be overemphasized, and details such as the variables that are included in the risk assessment formula affect the extent to which the program is successful in meeting these goals.


CHAPTER ONE

1.1 Introduction

Healthcare risk professionals play a key strategic role as they hold responsibility for not only preventing situations but also for executing damage control. Risk management is essential in highly regulated industries like healthcare given human lives are at stake. With healthcare in constant flux as new regulations are published, the rise of weather and climate disasters, and the effect of technology, Risk Managers need to focus on these five priorities (PolicyMedical, 2021).

As a prelude to other parts of this study, this chapter will discuss the background upon which this study was initiated, the statement of problems that led to this study, the Aim and Objectives of the study. Others are Significance of the study, Scope of work, Research hypothesis and questions, Limitations of the Study and Definition of technical terms.


1.2 Background of Study

The business of risk adjustment has come a long way since the publication of the Academy’s “Monograph Number One” with the title, “Health Risk Assessment and Health Risk Adjustment - Crucial Elements in Effective Health Care Reform” in May 1993. Less than ten years later, we had hospital inpatient diagnosis-based approaches, such as the model used by the Market Stabilization Pool for small group and individual coverage in NYS in conjunction with mandated community rating. The PIP-DCG approach for Medicare + Choice, also inpatient only, soon followed.

Risk adjustment models have included variables such as demographic (i.e. age and gender) and clinical markers based either on ICD-9 diagnosis codes and/or pharmacy codes such as the National Drug Codes (NDCs). Literature points to other variables such as geography, Body Mass Index (BMI), education, and income that also explain the variation in healthcare cost – but have hitherto not been included in risk adjustment programs mainly because such variables are not typically found in claim data. If these nontraditional variables explain meaningful variation in cost beyond traditional risk adjustment models – then this may provide incentives for issuers to select certain members. If such incentives lead to selection that affects the financial performance of issuers – then the policy goals of the risk adjustment program will be undermined. Recognizing the importance of fortifying risk adjustment programs against selection based on nontraditional variables, the Society of Actuaries’ Health Section sponsored an in-depth study into the relationship of nontraditional variables with health costs. This report presents the results of this study. We used the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) data in this research. Specific details concerning the data and preparation can be found in Section 3.2. This data is unique in that it includes a large number of individual characteristics (from BMI to whether a person has difficulty enjoying hobbies) together with healthcare claim data. There are limitations to the use of MEPS data, and these limitations are discussed further in Section 4. The results of this research demonstrate that it is important to adjust the traditional risk adjustment model in order to recognize nontraditional variables. The report develops a new measure (Loss Ratio Advantage or LRA) to help quantify the potential of a nontraditional variable to affect a risk adjustment program. With the help of this measure, the report compares the importance of over thirty variables that were systematically narrowed down from a list of over fifteen hundred variables describing various characteristics of the general population (i.e. The purchasers of healthcare insurance coverage). The nontraditional variables were broadly categorized into demographic, economic, lifestyle, psychological self-assessment (i.e. how a person feels about their mental health), and physical self-assessment.

Therefore, in Uth, Uyo, Akwa Ibom where the research was carried out, the activities that was conducted is to know the Impact of Non-traditional Variables in Health Care Risk Adjustment.


1.3 Statement of the Problem

Risk adjustment of any kind is inherently imperfect, the complexity and sophistication of risk adjustment models has increased significantly in the past couple decades. With the passage of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), risk adjustment will be required for non-grandfathered commercial small group and individual coverage both inside and outside Exchanges. Using a structured and scientific approach, the researcher has examined a long list of non-traditional drivers of health cost, chosen the most relevant ones, and tested their effect on bottom-line medical cost when included in the traditional risk adjustment formula.


1.4 Aim and Objectives of the Study

The aim of the study is to examine the Impact of Non-traditional Variables in Health Care Risk Adjustment using Uth, Uyo, Akwa Ibom as a case study. In achieving this aim, the following specific objectives were laid out as follows:

  1. To determine the relationship between non-traditional variables and health care risk adjustment in Nigeria.
  2. To ascertain the impact of non-traditional variables on health care risk adjustment in Nigeria.

1.5 Research Questions

The study came up with research questions so as to be able to ascertain the above stated objectives. The specific research questions for the study are stated below as follows:

  • Is there a relationship between non-traditional variables and health care risk adjustment in Nigeria?
  • Does non-traditional variables significantly impacts on health care risk adjustment in Nigeria?

CHAPTER TWO

2.0 Literature Review

2.1 Introduction

The review of relevant literature is the main topic of this chapter. A literature review covers theoretical and methodological contributions to a certain issue in addition to the state of knowledge at the time of writing. It provides information about the state of the art in relation to the subject you are writing about. It examines the body of work on the chosen subject. The literature evaluation in this study comprises the …


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TABLE OF CONTENTS

PRELIMINARY PAGES


CHAPTER ONE

INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Introduction
  • 1.2 Background of Study
  • 1.3 Statement of the Problem
  • 1.4 Aim and Objectives of the Study
  • 1.5 Research Questions
  • 1.6 Research Hypothesis
  • 1.7 Significance of Study
  • 1.8 Scope of Study
  • 1.9 Limitations of the study
  • 1.10 Operational Definition of Terms

CHAPTER TWO

LITERATURE REVIEW

  • 2.1 Introduction
  • 2.2 Concept of Primary Health Care (PHC)
  • 2.3 Theoretical Framework
  • 2.3.1 PHC and Population Aging of Patients
  • 2.3.2 PHC and Mental Health of Patients
  • 2.3.3 Goals and principles of PHC
  • 2.4 Approaches of PHC toward Patients
  • 2.5 Conceptual Review
  • 2.6 Facility Infrastructure of PHC
  • 2.7 Challenges of Patient Care Service
  • 2.7.1 Supply Factors
  • 2.7.2 Social, Economic, and Cultural Barriers
  • 2.8 Overview of Risk Adjustment
  • 2.8.1 Benefits of Risk Adjustment
  • 2.9 Empirical Review

CHAPTER THREE

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Research Design
  • 3.3 Population of Study
  • 3.4 Sampling and Sampling Technique
  • 3.5 Validation of Research Instrument
  • 3.6 Method of Data Collection
  • 3.7 Method of Data Analysis
  • 3.8 Questionnaire
  • 3.8.1 Interview
  • 3.8.2 Key Informants Interview
  • 3.8.3 Observation
  • 3.9 Statistical Analysis

CHAPTER FOUR

DATA ANALYSIS, RESULT AND DISCUSSION

  • 4.1 Introduction
  • 4.2 Presentation and Analysis of Data
  • 4.3 Test of Hypothesis 1
  • 4.4 Test of Hypothesis 2
  • 4.5 Discussion of Findings

CHAPTER FIVE

SUMMARY, CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Summary
  • 5.3 Conclusion
  • 5.4 Recommendation

REFERENCES

APPENDIX A - “QUESTIONNAIRE”


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